08-04-2021, 10:08 AM
I have learned the long term trends of the crypto market so you don't have to; the p
<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/oxceoe/i_have_learned_the_long_term_trends_of_the_crypto/"> <img src="https://external-preview.redd.it/63xbE-tVMuM3iKu0_7cckeGm9GkJLFyq070tn31RtNc.png?width=640&crop=smart&auto=webp&s=ee8702509076d0869ce1a059c23043453f9ec6ce" alt="I have learned the long term trends of the crypto market so you don't have to; the post I needed when I first got into crypto." title="I have learned the long term trends of the crypto market so you don't have to; the post I needed when I first got into crypto." /> </a> </td><td> <!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><h1>This is the monthly chart of bitcoin since inception, what patterns we can spot from this graph that help us predict what can happen next?</h1> <ul> <li>Bitcoin goes through cycles, in which bitcoin have phases where prices go parabolic (bull-runs), then it is followed by a correction (bear market).</li> <li>As you can see, Bitcoin grow logarithmically with time.</li> </ul> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/9uik2df826f71.png?width=1443&format=png&auto=webp&s=25026f8568cbce269e91be9f941b64f1c4c8e036">Bitcoin cycles since inception</a></p> <ul> <li>Cycles tend to extend over time, meaning that each cycle will take more time than the previous cycle.</li> </ul> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/9i1p24vx46f71.png?width=1456&format=png&auto=webp&s=993014aea773d9254ee4bf413a4fdc70d2e94729">Bitcoin cycles extend through time</a></p> <ul> <li>Bitcoin return on investment decrease over time.</li> </ul> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/j3zaqrwt66f71.png?width=1456&format=png&auto=webp&s=e29061a830c97587ef7cdf1752b075fa3ef76fdf">Bitcoin ROI from market cycle bottom</a></p> <p>If you think about it, it actually make sense to have diminishing returns and lengthening cycles. It takes more time and money to move bitcoin from 10k-100k than it takes to move bitcoin from 10$-100$ although it is the same increase in percentage.</p> <p>What triggers a bull-run?</p> <p>Usually, the bitcoin halving event triggers increase in price over a long time frame due to the scarcity of the available asset. However, There is a "Golden Cross" that triggers a bull-market. Which is when the 50-day exponential moving average cross over the 200-day exponential moving average. That is usually a bullish signal when given that these exponential moving averages holds as support.</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/kcnrruyae6f71.png?width=1467&format=png&auto=webp&s=7f234d9dcc65795b16c35e2764eb822f1b1b076e">2012 Golden Cross</a></p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/g0d0r41qe6f71.png?width=1467&format=png&auto=webp&s=fb7571be1545c4d19ca3052601a4395625ffa11d">2015 Golden Cross</a></p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/a0l5sxv5f6f71.png?width=1467&format=png&auto=webp&s=9e938b828501277443075b43ec8ab02c06773c12">2020 Golden Cross</a></p> <p>Most of these information I learned through YouTube, specifically a guy named Benjamin Cowen. You guys can search him up his channel is really helpful. All credits to him.</p> <p>This post is to state the long term trends of the crypto asset class, previous trend doesn't guarantee the continuation of these trends. it is not a financial advice. Edit : Thank you so much for the awards, kind people.</p> </div><!-- SC_ON --> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/Internet-Top"> /u/Internet-Top </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/oxceoe/i_have_learned_the_long_term_trends_of_the_crypto/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/oxceoe/i_have_learned_the_long_term_trends_of_the_crypto/">[comments]</a></span> </td></tr></table>Kind Regards R
<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/oxceoe/i_have_learned_the_long_term_trends_of_the_crypto/"> <img src="https://external-preview.redd.it/63xbE-tVMuM3iKu0_7cckeGm9GkJLFyq070tn31RtNc.png?width=640&crop=smart&auto=webp&s=ee8702509076d0869ce1a059c23043453f9ec6ce" alt="I have learned the long term trends of the crypto market so you don't have to; the post I needed when I first got into crypto." title="I have learned the long term trends of the crypto market so you don't have to; the post I needed when I first got into crypto." /> </a> </td><td> <!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><h1>This is the monthly chart of bitcoin since inception, what patterns we can spot from this graph that help us predict what can happen next?</h1> <ul> <li>Bitcoin goes through cycles, in which bitcoin have phases where prices go parabolic (bull-runs), then it is followed by a correction (bear market).</li> <li>As you can see, Bitcoin grow logarithmically with time.</li> </ul> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/9uik2df826f71.png?width=1443&format=png&auto=webp&s=25026f8568cbce269e91be9f941b64f1c4c8e036">Bitcoin cycles since inception</a></p> <ul> <li>Cycles tend to extend over time, meaning that each cycle will take more time than the previous cycle.</li> </ul> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/9i1p24vx46f71.png?width=1456&format=png&auto=webp&s=993014aea773d9254ee4bf413a4fdc70d2e94729">Bitcoin cycles extend through time</a></p> <ul> <li>Bitcoin return on investment decrease over time.</li> </ul> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/j3zaqrwt66f71.png?width=1456&format=png&auto=webp&s=e29061a830c97587ef7cdf1752b075fa3ef76fdf">Bitcoin ROI from market cycle bottom</a></p> <p>If you think about it, it actually make sense to have diminishing returns and lengthening cycles. It takes more time and money to move bitcoin from 10k-100k than it takes to move bitcoin from 10$-100$ although it is the same increase in percentage.</p> <p>What triggers a bull-run?</p> <p>Usually, the bitcoin halving event triggers increase in price over a long time frame due to the scarcity of the available asset. However, There is a "Golden Cross" that triggers a bull-market. Which is when the 50-day exponential moving average cross over the 200-day exponential moving average. That is usually a bullish signal when given that these exponential moving averages holds as support.</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/kcnrruyae6f71.png?width=1467&format=png&auto=webp&s=7f234d9dcc65795b16c35e2764eb822f1b1b076e">2012 Golden Cross</a></p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/g0d0r41qe6f71.png?width=1467&format=png&auto=webp&s=fb7571be1545c4d19ca3052601a4395625ffa11d">2015 Golden Cross</a></p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/a0l5sxv5f6f71.png?width=1467&format=png&auto=webp&s=9e938b828501277443075b43ec8ab02c06773c12">2020 Golden Cross</a></p> <p>Most of these information I learned through YouTube, specifically a guy named Benjamin Cowen. You guys can search him up his channel is really helpful. All credits to him.</p> <p>This post is to state the long term trends of the crypto asset class, previous trend doesn't guarantee the continuation of these trends. it is not a financial advice. Edit : Thank you so much for the awards, kind people.</p> </div><!-- SC_ON --> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/Internet-Top"> /u/Internet-Top </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/oxceoe/i_have_learned_the_long_term_trends_of_the_crypto/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/oxceoe/i_have_learned_the_long_term_trends_of_the_crypto/">[comments]</a></span> </td></tr></table>Kind Regards R