01-24-2022, 07:19 PM
potential extreme volatility tomorrow over Fed interest rates and options expiriy
<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/sbb8pz/potential_extreme_volatility_tomorrow_over_fed/"> <img src="https://external-preview.redd.it/n0Ny9PhEIc1pY47twhRWTHFgEG8HVGJb11J6qQuDKec.png?width=640&crop=smart&auto=webp&s=c660362d5906a85ae6970953bbecb3ee40a190b5" alt="potential extreme volatility tomorrow over Fed interest rates and options expiriy" title="potential extreme volatility tomorrow over Fed interest rates and options expiriy" /> </a> </td><td> <!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>​</p> <p>​</p> <p>​</p> <p>***Edit- clarification on time line. This has already started and will go through the next week or 6. </p> <p>****Edit 2 I am not saying down or up, I am saying extremely volatile (e.g. all over the place**</p> <p>​</p> <p>​</p> <p>Greetings,</p> <p>​</p> <p>Raising interest rates is what made 2018 kick-off. When companies can get low interest loans from the fed they buy risky assets ( tech stocks and crypto)</p> <p>For reference:</p> <p><a href="https://thehill.com/policy/finance/408552-fed-raises-rates-for-third-time-in-2018">https://thehill.com/policy/finance/408552-fed-raises-rates-for-third-time-in-2018</a></p> <p>​</p> <p>Then the rate go up they liquidate that investment and pay off loans</p> <p>Tomorrow we should see some crazy volatility with the announcements of the intersts rates. Wednesday is a key day</p> <p>Set news traps for the federal reserve and jerome powell</p> <p>It may go up ( parabolic) if the rates are perceived as good ( I dont think so)</p> <p><a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm">https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm</a></p> <p>​</p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/px5f1qtmrjd81.png?width=2471&format=png&auto=webp&s=2ff27cef6ee0cded3aad39cff6fa1fe8d9ea4da2">https://preview.redd.it/px5f1qtmrjd81.png?width=2471&format=png&auto=webp&s=2ff27cef6ee0cded3aad39cff6fa1fe8d9ea4da2</a></p> <p>On top of that tomorrow, late morning is the beginning of the Options expiry</p> <p>If you learned anything about CAlls and puts from GME and AMC you know that most big players do big options contracts and then influence the price by washing the market ( pump and dump)</p> <p>If you want to know where the price will be at the end of the month you can look where the largest volume strike prices are on options contracts</p> <p><a href="https://www.coinglass.com/options">https://www.coinglass.com/options</a></p> <p>​</p> <p>Save this link and scroll down to the strike price. Generally speaking the more money on an options contract strike price means the higher probability of the price being manipulated/ washed into place for hedgies to collect their nuggie$.</p> <p>The bears and bulls will be fighting tomorrow to push the price on btc below 33000 and above 35000</p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/ofj3e1ehsjd81.png?width=3398&format=png&auto=webp&s=33c0e7d4a1c2ae220b68b18f47c1aee781768d54">https://preview.redd.it/ofj3e1ehsjd81.png?width=3398&format=png&auto=webp&s=33c0e7d4a1c2ae220b68b18f47c1aee781768d54</a></p> <p>Eth will have a tug o war between 2000 and 2700</p> <p>I see 2000 winning with the interest rate hikes</p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/481dmw9rsjd81.png?width=3053&format=png&auto=webp&s=6ef309a1524a9d2147c06c9ff0d2ba43e52b0833">https://preview.redd.it/481dmw9rsjd81.png?width=3053&format=png&auto=webp&s=6ef309a1524a9d2147c06c9ff0d2ba43e52b0833</a></p> <p>Options often expire on the last Friday of a month for the monthly. Every 3 months is a big Quarterly expire</p> <p>so 1/27 evening expect crazy price movement, then at 1/28 starting at 2am CST and ending at noon cst it should suddenly end.</p> <p>IF there was a massive dump go long for 1-3 hours at these times. , if it pumps short</p> <p><a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/bitcoin.html_product_calendar_futures.html">https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/bitcoin.html_product_calendar_futures.html</a></p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://www.marketwatch.com/optionscenter/calendar">https://www.marketwatch.com/optionscenter/calendar</a></p> <p>​</p> <p>more info</p> <p><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/expiration-time.asp#:%7E:text=The%20expiration%20date%20for%20listed,immediately%20before%20the%20third%20Friday">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/expiration-time.asp#:~:text=The%20expiration%20date%20for%20listed,immediately%20before%20the%20third%20Friday</a>.</p> <p>​</p> <p>Eth generally has a 100-500 dollar movement after the expiry happens on 1/28 8am utc is the global expiration time</p> <p>​</p> <p>Edit short squeeze add on:</p> <p>If the price starts to rise there will be a short squeeze THis happened 2 times in the last 1.5 years. January 2021 and July 2021. IF short start getting liquidated in mass it reflects as massive buying pressure.</p> <p>​</p> <p>If the market crashes there will be a long squeeze creating an immense sell pressure ( March 2021 and Sept 7th 2021</p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/x9ca0ezmzjd81.jpg?width=4285&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0ccd115f1dbcc90fb591433ee1c57482a51e25a4">https://preview.redd.it/x9ca0ezmzjd81.jpg?width=4285&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0ccd115f1dbcc90fb591433ee1c57482a51e25a4</a></p> <p>Edit:</p> <p>misspellings, options link typos</p> <p>​</p> <p>Buckle up kiddies</p> </div><!-- SC_ON --> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/HammondXX"> /u/HammondXX </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/sbb8pz/potential_extreme_volatility_tomorrow_over_fed/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/sbb8pz/potential_extreme_volatility_tomorrow_over_fed/">[comments]</a></span> </td></tr></table>Kind Regards R
<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/sbb8pz/potential_extreme_volatility_tomorrow_over_fed/"> <img src="https://external-preview.redd.it/n0Ny9PhEIc1pY47twhRWTHFgEG8HVGJb11J6qQuDKec.png?width=640&crop=smart&auto=webp&s=c660362d5906a85ae6970953bbecb3ee40a190b5" alt="potential extreme volatility tomorrow over Fed interest rates and options expiriy" title="potential extreme volatility tomorrow over Fed interest rates and options expiriy" /> </a> </td><td> <!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>​</p> <p>​</p> <p>​</p> <p>***Edit- clarification on time line. This has already started and will go through the next week or 6. </p> <p>****Edit 2 I am not saying down or up, I am saying extremely volatile (e.g. all over the place**</p> <p>​</p> <p>​</p> <p>Greetings,</p> <p>​</p> <p>Raising interest rates is what made 2018 kick-off. When companies can get low interest loans from the fed they buy risky assets ( tech stocks and crypto)</p> <p>For reference:</p> <p><a href="https://thehill.com/policy/finance/408552-fed-raises-rates-for-third-time-in-2018">https://thehill.com/policy/finance/408552-fed-raises-rates-for-third-time-in-2018</a></p> <p>​</p> <p>Then the rate go up they liquidate that investment and pay off loans</p> <p>Tomorrow we should see some crazy volatility with the announcements of the intersts rates. Wednesday is a key day</p> <p>Set news traps for the federal reserve and jerome powell</p> <p>It may go up ( parabolic) if the rates are perceived as good ( I dont think so)</p> <p><a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm">https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm</a></p> <p>​</p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/px5f1qtmrjd81.png?width=2471&format=png&auto=webp&s=2ff27cef6ee0cded3aad39cff6fa1fe8d9ea4da2">https://preview.redd.it/px5f1qtmrjd81.png?width=2471&format=png&auto=webp&s=2ff27cef6ee0cded3aad39cff6fa1fe8d9ea4da2</a></p> <p>On top of that tomorrow, late morning is the beginning of the Options expiry</p> <p>If you learned anything about CAlls and puts from GME and AMC you know that most big players do big options contracts and then influence the price by washing the market ( pump and dump)</p> <p>If you want to know where the price will be at the end of the month you can look where the largest volume strike prices are on options contracts</p> <p><a href="https://www.coinglass.com/options">https://www.coinglass.com/options</a></p> <p>​</p> <p>Save this link and scroll down to the strike price. Generally speaking the more money on an options contract strike price means the higher probability of the price being manipulated/ washed into place for hedgies to collect their nuggie$.</p> <p>The bears and bulls will be fighting tomorrow to push the price on btc below 33000 and above 35000</p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/ofj3e1ehsjd81.png?width=3398&format=png&auto=webp&s=33c0e7d4a1c2ae220b68b18f47c1aee781768d54">https://preview.redd.it/ofj3e1ehsjd81.png?width=3398&format=png&auto=webp&s=33c0e7d4a1c2ae220b68b18f47c1aee781768d54</a></p> <p>Eth will have a tug o war between 2000 and 2700</p> <p>I see 2000 winning with the interest rate hikes</p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/481dmw9rsjd81.png?width=3053&format=png&auto=webp&s=6ef309a1524a9d2147c06c9ff0d2ba43e52b0833">https://preview.redd.it/481dmw9rsjd81.png?width=3053&format=png&auto=webp&s=6ef309a1524a9d2147c06c9ff0d2ba43e52b0833</a></p> <p>Options often expire on the last Friday of a month for the monthly. Every 3 months is a big Quarterly expire</p> <p>so 1/27 evening expect crazy price movement, then at 1/28 starting at 2am CST and ending at noon cst it should suddenly end.</p> <p>IF there was a massive dump go long for 1-3 hours at these times. , if it pumps short</p> <p><a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/bitcoin.html_product_calendar_futures.html">https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/us-index/bitcoin.html_product_calendar_futures.html</a></p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://www.marketwatch.com/optionscenter/calendar">https://www.marketwatch.com/optionscenter/calendar</a></p> <p>​</p> <p>more info</p> <p><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/expiration-time.asp#:%7E:text=The%20expiration%20date%20for%20listed,immediately%20before%20the%20third%20Friday">https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/expiration-time.asp#:~:text=The%20expiration%20date%20for%20listed,immediately%20before%20the%20third%20Friday</a>.</p> <p>​</p> <p>Eth generally has a 100-500 dollar movement after the expiry happens on 1/28 8am utc is the global expiration time</p> <p>​</p> <p>Edit short squeeze add on:</p> <p>If the price starts to rise there will be a short squeeze THis happened 2 times in the last 1.5 years. January 2021 and July 2021. IF short start getting liquidated in mass it reflects as massive buying pressure.</p> <p>​</p> <p>If the market crashes there will be a long squeeze creating an immense sell pressure ( March 2021 and Sept 7th 2021</p> <p>​</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/x9ca0ezmzjd81.jpg?width=4285&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0ccd115f1dbcc90fb591433ee1c57482a51e25a4">https://preview.redd.it/x9ca0ezmzjd81.jpg?width=4285&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0ccd115f1dbcc90fb591433ee1c57482a51e25a4</a></p> <p>Edit:</p> <p>misspellings, options link typos</p> <p>​</p> <p>Buckle up kiddies</p> </div><!-- SC_ON --> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/HammondXX"> /u/HammondXX </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/sbb8pz/potential_extreme_volatility_tomorrow_over_fed/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/sbb8pz/potential_extreme_volatility_tomorrow_over_fed/">[comments]</a></span> </td></tr></table>Kind Regards R