05-05-2021, 05:54 AM
Here are some charts to help you know when we're in a bear market.
<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/n53t83/here_are_some_charts_to_help_you_know_when_were/"> <img src="https://b.thumbs.redditmedia.com/4o9LPFCUXXJMlvo3KRssfW2f1cPnaMSX0IEAZJT34-Q.jpg" alt="Here are some charts to help you know when we're in a bear market." title="Here are some charts to help you know when we're in a bear market." /> </a> </td><td> <!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>I've noticed the question is popping up more and more, "how do we know when we're in a bear market?" or phrased another way, "is this bull run over?"</p> <p>So, I'd like to share with you some charts that people here probably are not really aware of or view that often.</p> <h1>SMA 1458 days</h1> <p>The first one is the 'simple moving average' (SMA) over 4 years (1458 days). The reason it's here is because the SMA 1458 indicator has proven to be very accurate support for bitcoin price.</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/nzwn5quqe7x61.png?width=1182&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c01f1bb467312ab7da279aebd62d377665243c9">https://preview.redd.it/nzwn5quqe7x61.png?width=1182&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c01f1bb467312ab7da279aebd62d377665243c9</a></p> <p>You can see above, if we go by the last run we still have some yellow-orange-red to get over. Best time to buy is when it touches the SMA 1458 line.</p> <h1>Stock to flow model</h1> <blockquote> <p>The 'Stock-to-flow' is a number that shows how many years, at the current production rate, are required to achieve the current stock. The higher the number, the higher the price.</p> </blockquote> <p>You can read more about the model in the link after the chart, but one of the reasons this has been so accurate is because of Bitcoins 'halvening' feature.</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/wgq5nyqpe7x61.png?width=1340&format=png&auto=webp&s=f66ed0be357f76531a588645bc5add1972eb3a54">https://preview.redd.it/wgq5nyqpe7x61.png?width=1340&format=png&auto=webp&s=f66ed0be357f76531a588645bc5add1972eb3a54</a></p> <p>Again, if you're a little slow, like me, just look at the colours (after yellow is bad, blue is good buy time)</p> <h1>Miner capitulation</h1> <p>This chart shows the last cycles side-by-side along with indicators for when there was halvening and then the blocks since difficulty bottom.</p> <p>I like it because it gives you the runs next to each other to get a better idea (or better guess) 'where we are'</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/1v9hcvxoe7x61.png?width=1338&format=png&auto=webp&s=52ec1184211d94447abe3363f3eb50352e2fb43a">https://preview.redd.it/1v9hcvxoe7x61.png?width=1338&format=png&auto=webp&s=52ec1184211d94447abe3363f3eb50352e2fb43a</a></p> <h1>Beam indicator</h1> <p>This last one is for the degenerates here who like to short/long. This chart is a nice way to look at 'when' to buy (or long/short if you like that sort of thing)</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/ry01gq1oe7x61.png?width=1314&format=png&auto=webp&s=f1f4a4f3b4b66805508f3d82136d31fa5e858966">https://preview.redd.it/ry01gq1oe7x61.png?width=1314&format=png&auto=webp&s=f1f4a4f3b4b66805508f3d82136d31fa5e858966</a></p> <p>---</p> <p>There are a lot more indicators and charts, but these are the main ones I check in on every now and then to try and get an idea of 'where' we're at in the current run.</p> <p>Source of charts is <a href="https://digitalik.net/btc">digitalik.net</a> and of course, <strong>this is NOT financial advice.</strong></p> <p>These are just some different charts to look at to get a better idea of where we are since halvening, where we are compared to where we were last cycles, etc.</p> <p>If you've got any others you like to use please share them with the rest of us, hope these help!</p> </div><!-- SC_ON --> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/MaltMilchek"> /u/MaltMilchek </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/n53t83/here_are_some_charts_to_help_you_know_when_were/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/n53t83/here_are_some_charts_to_help_you_know_when_were/">[comments]</a></span> </td></tr></table>Kind Regards R
<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/n53t83/here_are_some_charts_to_help_you_know_when_were/"> <img src="https://b.thumbs.redditmedia.com/4o9LPFCUXXJMlvo3KRssfW2f1cPnaMSX0IEAZJT34-Q.jpg" alt="Here are some charts to help you know when we're in a bear market." title="Here are some charts to help you know when we're in a bear market." /> </a> </td><td> <!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>I've noticed the question is popping up more and more, "how do we know when we're in a bear market?" or phrased another way, "is this bull run over?"</p> <p>So, I'd like to share with you some charts that people here probably are not really aware of or view that often.</p> <h1>SMA 1458 days</h1> <p>The first one is the 'simple moving average' (SMA) over 4 years (1458 days). The reason it's here is because the SMA 1458 indicator has proven to be very accurate support for bitcoin price.</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/nzwn5quqe7x61.png?width=1182&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c01f1bb467312ab7da279aebd62d377665243c9">https://preview.redd.it/nzwn5quqe7x61.png?width=1182&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c01f1bb467312ab7da279aebd62d377665243c9</a></p> <p>You can see above, if we go by the last run we still have some yellow-orange-red to get over. Best time to buy is when it touches the SMA 1458 line.</p> <h1>Stock to flow model</h1> <blockquote> <p>The 'Stock-to-flow' is a number that shows how many years, at the current production rate, are required to achieve the current stock. The higher the number, the higher the price.</p> </blockquote> <p>You can read more about the model in the link after the chart, but one of the reasons this has been so accurate is because of Bitcoins 'halvening' feature.</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/wgq5nyqpe7x61.png?width=1340&format=png&auto=webp&s=f66ed0be357f76531a588645bc5add1972eb3a54">https://preview.redd.it/wgq5nyqpe7x61.png?width=1340&format=png&auto=webp&s=f66ed0be357f76531a588645bc5add1972eb3a54</a></p> <p>Again, if you're a little slow, like me, just look at the colours (after yellow is bad, blue is good buy time)</p> <h1>Miner capitulation</h1> <p>This chart shows the last cycles side-by-side along with indicators for when there was halvening and then the blocks since difficulty bottom.</p> <p>I like it because it gives you the runs next to each other to get a better idea (or better guess) 'where we are'</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/1v9hcvxoe7x61.png?width=1338&format=png&auto=webp&s=52ec1184211d94447abe3363f3eb50352e2fb43a">https://preview.redd.it/1v9hcvxoe7x61.png?width=1338&format=png&auto=webp&s=52ec1184211d94447abe3363f3eb50352e2fb43a</a></p> <h1>Beam indicator</h1> <p>This last one is for the degenerates here who like to short/long. This chart is a nice way to look at 'when' to buy (or long/short if you like that sort of thing)</p> <p><a href="https://preview.redd.it/ry01gq1oe7x61.png?width=1314&format=png&auto=webp&s=f1f4a4f3b4b66805508f3d82136d31fa5e858966">https://preview.redd.it/ry01gq1oe7x61.png?width=1314&format=png&auto=webp&s=f1f4a4f3b4b66805508f3d82136d31fa5e858966</a></p> <p>---</p> <p>There are a lot more indicators and charts, but these are the main ones I check in on every now and then to try and get an idea of 'where' we're at in the current run.</p> <p>Source of charts is <a href="https://digitalik.net/btc">digitalik.net</a> and of course, <strong>this is NOT financial advice.</strong></p> <p>These are just some different charts to look at to get a better idea of where we are since halvening, where we are compared to where we were last cycles, etc.</p> <p>If you've got any others you like to use please share them with the rest of us, hope these help!</p> </div><!-- SC_ON --> submitted by <a href="https://www.reddit.com/user/MaltMilchek"> /u/MaltMilchek </a> <br/> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/n53t83/here_are_some_charts_to_help_you_know_when_were/">[link]</a></span> <span><a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/n53t83/here_are_some_charts_to_help_you_know_when_were/">[comments]</a></span> </td></tr></table>Kind Regards R